0. July 20, 2014: Some of the comments to this post reveal that using the word “fallacy” in my original title might have encouraged running together the current issue with the fallacy of transposing the conditional. Please see a newly added Section 7. 1. What you should ask… Discussions of P-values in the Higgs discovery invariably recapitulate many … Continue reading “P-values overstate the evidence against the null”: legit or fallacious? (revised)