Monthly Archives: January 2021

January 28 Phil Stat Forum “How Can We Improve Replicability?” (Alexander Bird)

The fifth meeting of our Phil Stat Forum*:

The Statistics Wars
and Their Casualties

28 January, 2021

TIME: 15:00-16:45 (London); 10-11:45 a.m. (New York, EST)

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“How can we improve replicability?”

Alexander Bird 

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Categories: Phil Stat Forum | 1 Comment

S. Senn: “Beta testing”: The Pfizer/BioNTech statistical analysis of their Covid-19 vaccine trial (guest post)

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Stephen Senn

Consultant Statistician
Edinburgh, Scotland

The usual warning

Although I have researched on clinical trial design for many years, prior to the COVID-19 epidemic I had had nothing to do with vaccines. The only object of these amateur musings is to amuse amateurs by raising some issues I have pondered and found interesting. Continue reading

Categories: covid-19, PhilStat/Med, S. Senn | 16 Comments

Why hasn’t the ASA Board revealed the recommendations of its new task force on statistical significance and replicability?

something’s not revealed

A little over a year ago, the board of the American Statistical Association (ASA) appointed a new Task Force on Statistical Significance and Replicability (under then president, Karen Kafadar), to provide it with recommendations. [Its members are here (i).] You might remember my blogpost at the time, “Les Stats C’est Moi”. The Task Force worked quickly, despite the pandemic, giving its recommendations to the ASA Board early, in time for the Joint Statistical Meetings at the end of July 2020. But the ASA hasn’t revealed the Task Force’s recommendations, and I just learned yesterday that it has no plans to do so*. A panel session I was in at the JSM, (P-values and ‘Statistical Significance’: Deconstructing the Arguments), grew out of this episode, and papers from the proceedings are now out. The introduction to my contribution gives you the background to my question, while revealing one of the recommendations (I only know of 2). Continue reading

Categories: 2016 ASA Statement on P-values, JSM 2020, replication crisis, statistical significance tests, straw person fallacy | 8 Comments

Next Phil Stat Forum: January 7: D. Mayo: Putting the Brakes on the Breakthrough (or “How I used simple logic to uncover a flaw in …..statistical foundations”)

The fourth meeting of our New Phil Stat Forum*:

The Statistics Wars
and Their Casualties

January 7, 16:00 – 17:30  (London time)
11 am-12:30 pm (New York, ET)**
**note time modification and date change

Putting the Brakes on the Breakthrough,

or “How I used simple logic to uncover a flaw in a controversial 60-year old ‘theorem’ in statistical foundations” 

Deborah G. Mayo

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Categories: Birnbaum, Birnbaum Brakes, Likelihood Principle | 5 Comments

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