Monthly Archives: September 2022

My Slides from the workshop: The statistics wars and their casualties

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I will be writing some reflections on our two workshop sessions on this blog soon, but for now, here are just the slides I used on Thursday, 22 September. If you wish to ask a question of any of the speakers, use the blogpost at phil-stat-wars.com. The slides from the other speakers will also be up there on Monday.

Deborah G. Mayo’s. Slides from the workshop: The Statistics Wars and Their Casualties, Session 1, on September 22, 2022.

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22-23 September final schedule for workshop: The statistics wars and their casualties ONLINE

The Statistics Wars
and Their Casualties

Final Schedule for September 22 & 23 (Workshop Sessions 1 & 2)

 

Session 1: September 22 

Moderator: David Hand (Imperial College London)

3:00-3:10 (10:00-10:10): Deborah Mayo, Opening Remarks and Thanks

3:10-3:15 (10:10-10:15) Chair introduction to the session

  • 3:15-3:50 (10:15-10:50): Deborah Mayo (Virginia Tech) The Statistics Wars and Their Causalities (Abstract)
  • 3:50-4:25 (10:50-11:25): Richard Morey (Cardiff University) Bayes factors, p values, and the replication crisis (Abstract)
  • 4:25-5:00 (11:25-12:00): Stephen Senn (Edinburgh) The replication crisis: are P-values the problem and are Bayes factors the solution? (Abstract)

5:00-5:10 (12-12:10): Break

5:10-5:20 (12:10-12:20): PANEL DISCUSSION between speakers & chair

5:20-5:50 (12:20-12:50): OPEN DISCUSSION with audience

5:50-6:00 (12:50-1pm): Reflections on session

 

Session 2: September 23 

Co-Moderators: S. Senn (Edinburgh) & M. Harris (LSE)

  • 3:00-3:35 (10:00-10:35): Daniël Lakens (Eindhoven University of Technology) The role of background assumptions in severity appraisal (Abstract)
  • 3:35-4:10 (10:35-11:10): Christian Hennig (University of Bologna) On the interpretation of the mathematical characteristics of statistical tests (Abstract)
  • 4:10-4:45 (11:10-11:45): Yoav Benjamini (Tel Aviv University) The two statistical cornerstones of replicability: addressing selective inference and irrelevant variability (Abstract)

4:45-4:55 (11:45-11:55): Break

4:55 -5:05 (11:55-12:05): PANEL DISCUSSION between speakers & chair

5:05-5:35 (12:05-12:35): OPEN DISCUSSION with audience

5:35-5:45 (12:35-12:45): Panel discussion of both sessions

5:45-6:00 (12:45-1pm): Discussion of both sessions & future topics by workshop participants

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22-23 Workshop Schedule: The Statistics Wars and Their Casualties: ONLINE

You can still register: https://phil-stat-wars.com/2022/09/19/22-23-september-workshop-schedule-the-statistics-wars-and-their-casualties/

 

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Upcoming Workshop: The Statistics Wars and Their Casualties workshop

The Statistics Wars
and Their Casualties

22-23 September 2022
15:00-18:00 pm London Time*
ONLINE
(London School of Economics, CPNSS)

To register for the  workshop,
please fill out the registration form here.

For schedules and updated details, please see the workshop webpage: phil-stat-wars.com.

*These will be sessions 1 & 2, there will be two more
online sessions (3 & 4) on December 1 & 8.

While the field of statistics has a long history of passionate foundational controversy, the last decade has, in many ways, been the most dramatic. Misuses of statistics, biasing selection effects, and high-powered methods of big-data analysis, have helped to make it easy to find impressive-looking but spurious results that fail to replicate. As the crisis of replication has spread beyond psychology and social sciences to biomedicine, genomics, machine learning and other fields, the need for critical appraisal of proposed reforms is growing. Many are welcome (transparency about data, eschewing mechanical uses of statistics); some are quite radical. The experts do not agree on the best ways to promote trustworthy results, and these disagreements often reflect philosophical battles–old and new– about the nature of inductive-statistical inference and the roles of probability in statistical inference and modeling. Intermingled in the controversies about evidence are competing social, political, and economic values. If statistical consumers are unaware of assumptions behind rival evidence-policy reforms, they cannot scrutinize the consequences that affect them. What is at stake is a critical standpoint that we may increasingly be in danger of losing. Critically reflecting on proposed reforms and changing standards requires insights from statisticians, philosophers of science, psychologists, journal editors, economists and practitioners from across the natural and social sciences. This workshop will bring together these interdisciplinary insights–from speakers as well as attendees.

Speakers/Panellists:

Yoav Benjamini (Tel Aviv University), Alexander Bird (University of Cambridge), Mark Burgman (Imperial College London),  Daniele Fanelli (London School of Economics and Political Science), Roman Frigg (London School of Economics and Political Science), Stephan Guttinger (University of Exeter), David Hand (Imperial College London), Margherita Harris  (London School of Economics and Political Science), Christian Hennig (University of Bologna), Daniël Lakens (Eindhoven University of Technology), Deborah Mayo (Virginia Tech), Richard Morey (Cardiff University), Stephen Senn (Edinburgh, Scotland), Jon Williamson (University of Kent)

Sponsors/Affiliations:

The Foundation for the Study of Experimental Reasoning, Reliability, and the Objectivity and Rationality of Science (E.R.R.O.R.S.); Centre for Philosophy of Natural and Social Science (CPNSS), London School of Economics; Virginia Tech Department of Philosophy

Organizers: D. Mayo, R. Frigg and M. Harris
Logistician
(chief logistics and contact person): Jean Miller
Executive Planning Committee: Y. Benjamini, D. Hand, D. Lakens, S. Senn

To register for the workshop,
please fill out the registration form here. 

Categories: Announcement, stat wars and their casualties | 1 Comment

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