Monthly Archives: June 2021

Statisticians Rise Up To Defend (error statistical) Hypothesis Testing

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What is the message conveyed when the board of a professional association X appoints a Task Force intended to dispel the supposition that a position advanced by the Executive Director of association X does not reflect the views of association X on a topic that members of X disagree on? What it says to me is that there is a serious break-down of communication amongst the leadership and membership of that association. So while I’m extremely glad that the ASA appointed the Task Force on Statistical Significance and Replicability in 2019, I’m very sorry that the main reason it was needed was to address concerns that an editorial put forward by the ASA Executive Director (and 2 others) “might be mistakenly interpreted as official ASA policy”. The 2021 Statement of the Task Force (Benjamini et al. 2021) explains:

In 2019 the President of the American Statistical Association (ASA) established a task force to address concerns that a 2019 editorial in The American Statistician (an ASA journal) might be mistakenly interpreted as official ASA policy. (The 2019 editorial recommended eliminating the use of “p < 0.05” and “statistically significant” in statistical analysis.) This document is the statement of the task force…

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Categories: ASA Task Force on Significance and Replicability, Schachtman, significance tests | 9 Comments

June 24: “Have Covid-19 lockdowns led to an increase in domestic violence? Drawing inferences from police administrative data” (Katrin Hohl)

The tenth meeting of our Phil Stat Forum*:

The Statistics Wars
and Their Casualties

24 June 2021

TIME: 15:00-16:45 (London); 10:00-11:45 (New York, EST)

For information about the Phil Stat Wars forum and how to join, click on this link.

Katrin Hohl_copy

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“Have Covid-19 lockdowns led to an increase in domestic violence? Drawing inferences from police administrative data” 

Katrin Hohl Continue reading

Categories: Error Statistics | Leave a comment

At long last! The ASA President’s Task Force Statement on Statistical Significance and Replicability

The ASA President’s Task Force Statement on Statistical Significance and Replicability has finally been published. It found a home in The Annals of Applied Statistics, after everyone else they looked to–including the ASA itself– refused to publish it.  For background see this post. I’ll comment on it in a later post. There is also an Editorial: Statistical Significance, P-Values, and Replicability by Karen Kafadar. Continue reading

Categories: ASA Task Force on Significance and Replicability | 10 Comments

June 24: “Have Covid-19 lockdowns led to an increase in domestic violence? Drawing inferences from police administrative data” (Katrin Hohl)

The tenth meeting of our Phil Stat Forum*:

The Statistics Wars
and Their Casualties

24 June 2021

TIME: 15:00-16:45 (London); 10:00-11:45 (New York, EST)

For information about the Phil Stat Wars forum and how to join, click on this link.

Katrin Hohl_copy

.

“Have Covid-19 lockdowns led to an increase in domestic violence? Drawing inferences from police administrative data” 

Katrin Hohl Continue reading

Categories: Error Statistics | Leave a comment

The F.D.A.’s controversial ruling on an Alzheimer’s drug (letter from a reader)(ii)

I was watching Biogen’s stock (BIIB) climb over 100 points yesterday because its Alzheimer’s drug, aducanumab [brand name: Aduhelm], received surprising FDA approval.  I hadn’t been following the drug at all (it’s enough to try and track some Covid treatments/vaccines). I knew only that the FDA panel had unanimously recommended not to approve it last year, and the general sentiment was that it was heading for FDA rejection yesterday. After I received an email from Geoff Stuart[i] asking what I thought, I found out a bit more. He wrote: Continue reading

Categories: PhilStat/Med, preregistration | 10 Comments

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