Monthly Archives: September 2020

September 24: Bayes factors from all sides: who’s worried, who’s not, and why (R. Morey)

Information and directions for joining our forum are here.

 

Upcoming talks will include Stephen Senn (Statistical consultant, Scotland, November 19, 2020); Deborah Mayo (Philosophy, Virginia Tech, December 19, 2020); and Alexander Bird (Philosophy, King’s College London, January 28, 2021).  https://phil-stat-wars.com/schedule/.

In October, instead of our monthly meeting, I invite you to a P-value debate on October 15 sponsored by the National Institute of Statistical Science, with J. Berger, D. Mayo, and D. Trafimow. Register at https://www.niss.org/events/statistics-debate.

 

Categories: Announcement, bayes factors, Error Statistics, Phil Stat Forum, Richard Morey | Leave a comment

All She Wrote (so far): Error Statistics Philosophy: 9 years on

Dear Reader: I began this blog 9 years ago (Sept. 3, 2011)! A double celebration is taking place at the Elbar Room tonight (a smaller one was held earlier in the week), both for the blog and the 2 year anniversary of the physical appearance of my book: Statistical Inference as Severe Testing: How to Get Beyond the Statistics Wars [SIST] (CUP, 2018). A special rush edition made an appearance on Sept 3, 2018 in time for the RSS meeting in Cardiff. If you’re in the neighborhood, stop by for some Elba Grease.

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Many of the discussions in the book were importantly influenced (corrected and improved) by reader’s comments on the blog over the years. I posted several excerpts and mementos from SIST here. I thank readers for their input. Readers should look up the topics in SIST on this blog to check out the comments, and see how ideas were developed, corrected and turned into “excursions” in SIST.

In the summer of 2019, A. Spanos and I led a Summer Seminar in Phil Stat at Virginia Tech for 15 faculty members from around the world in philosophy, psychology, and statistics. A write up is here.

This past summer (May 21-June 18), I ran a virtual LSE PH500 seminar on Current Controversies in Phil Stat.

Please peruse the 9 years of offerings below, taking advantage of the discussions by guest posters and readers. Continue reading

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5 September, 2018 (w/updates) RSS 2018 – Significance Tests: Rethinking the Controversy

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Day 2, Wed 5th September, 2018:

The 2018 Meeting of the Royal Statistical Society (Cardiff)

11:20 – 13:20

Keynote 4 – Significance Tests: Rethinking the Controversy Assembly Room

Speakers:
Sir David Cox, Nuffield College, Oxford
Deborah Mayo, Virginia Tech
Richard Morey, Cardiff University
Aris Spanos, Virginia Tech

Intermingled in today’s statistical controversies are some long-standing, but unresolved, disagreements on the nature and principles of statistical methods and the roles for probability in statistical inference and modelling. In reaction to the so-called “replication crisis” in the sciences, some reformers suggest significance tests as a major culprit. To understand the ramifications of the proposed reforms, there is a pressing need for a deeper understanding of the source of the problems in the sciences and a balanced critique of the alternative methods being proposed to supplant significance tests. In this session speakers offer perspectives on significance tests from statistical science, econometrics, experimental psychology and philosophy of science. There will be also be panel discussion.

5 Sept. 2018 (taken by A.Spanos)

Continue reading

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The Physical Reality of My New Book! Here at the RSS Meeting (2 years ago)

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You can find several excerpts and mementos from the book, including whole “tours” (in proofs) updated June 2020 here.

Categories: SIST | Leave a comment

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