First people deny a thing.
Then they belittle it.
Then they say they knew it all along.
I don’t know who was first to state it in one form or another. Here’s Schopenhauer with a slightly different variant:
“All truth passes through three stages: First, it is ridiculed; Second, it is violently opposed; and Third, it is accepted as self-evident.” – Arthur Schopenhauer
After recently presenting my paper criticizing the Birnbaum result on the likelihood principle (LP) the reception of my analysis seems somewhere around stage two, in some cases, moving into stage three (see my blogposts of December 6 and 7, 2011). Continue reading