Friday, May 2, 2014, I will attempt to present my critical analysis of the Birnbaum argument for the (strong) Likelihood Principle, so as to be accessible to a general philosophy audience (flyer below). Can it be done? I don’t know yet, this is a first. It will consist of:
- Example 1: Trying and Trying Again: Optional stopping
- Example 2: Two instruments with different precisions
[you shouldn’t get credit (or blame) for something you didn’t do]
- The Breakthough: Birnbaumization
- Imaginary dialogue with Allan Birnbaum
The full paper is here. My discussion takes several pieces a reader can explore further by searching this blog (e.g., under SLP, brakes e.g., here, Birnbaum, optional stopping). I will post slides afterwards.