Rejected Posts

Winner of March 2016 Palindrome: Manan Shah

Shah

Manan Shah

Manan Shah channels Jack Nicholson in “The Shining” to win this month’s palindrome contest (and the book of his choice).* 

Winner of March 2016 Contest: Manan Shah

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Palindrome: I was able to. I did add well. Liking is, I say, as evil as dad’s aloof. Delivery reviled sign: “I red rum”. Examine men I’m axe murdering. Is delivery reviled? Fool! As dad’s alive, say as I sign: “I kill lewd dad.” Idiot Elba saw I.

The requirements: In addition to using Elba, a candidate for a winning palindrome must have used examine (or examined or examination)

Bio: Manan Shah is a mathematician and owner of Think. Plan. Do. LLC  (www.ThinkPlanDoLLC.com). He writes at www.mathmisery.com and is looking to publish his first book, hopefully by the end of this year. He holds a PhD in Mathematics from Florida State University.
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Categories: Palindrome, Rejected Posts

Your chance to continue the “due to chance” discussion in roomier quarters

images-11

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Comments get unwieldy after 100, so here’s a chance to continue the “due to chance” discussion in some roomier quarters. (There seems to be at least two distinct lanes being travelled.) Now one of the main reasons I run this blog is to discover potential clues to solving or making progress on thorny philosophical problems I’ve been wrangling with for a long time. I think I extracted some illuminating gems from the discussion here, but I don’t have time to write them up, and won’t for a bit, so I’ve parked a list of comments wherein the golden extracts lie (I think) over at my Rejected Posts blog[1]. (They’re all my comments, but as influenced by readers, so I thank you!) Over there, there’s no “return and resubmit”, but around a dozen posts have eventually made it over here, tidied up. Please continue the discussion on this blog (I don’t even recommend going over there). You can link to your earlier comments by clicking on the date.

[1] The Spiegelhalter (PVP)  link is here.

Categories: Error Statistics, P-values, Rejected Posts, Statistics

“Fraudulent until proved innocent: Is this really the new “Bayesian Forensics”? (rejected post)

Objectivity 1: Will the Real Junk Science Please Stand Up?Fraudulent until proved innocent: Is this really the new “Bayesian Forensics”? (rejected post)

 

 

 

Categories: evidence-based policy, frequentist/Bayesian, junk science, Rejected Posts

Diederik Stapel hired to teach “social philosophy” because students got tired of success stories… or something (rejected post)

Oh My*.images-16

(“But I can succeed as a social philosopher”)

The following is from Retraction Watch. UPDATE: OCT 10, 2014**

Diederik Stapel, the Dutch social psychologist and admitted data fabricator — and owner of 54 retraction notices — is now teaching at a college in the town of Tilburg [i].

According to Omroep Brabant, Stapel was offered the job as a kind of adjunct at Fontys Academy for Creative Industries to teach social philosophy. The site quotes a Nick Welman explaining the rationale for hiring Stapel (per Google Translate):

“It came about because students one after another success story were told from the entertainment industry, the industry which we educate them .”

The students wanted something different.

“They wanted to also focus on careers that have failed. On people who have fallen into a black hole, acquainted with the dark side of fame and success.”

Last month, organizers of a drama festival in The Netherlands cancelled a play co-written by Stapel.

I really think Dean Bon puts the rationale most clearly of all.

…A letter from the school’s dean, Pieter Bon, adds:

We like to be entertained and the length of our lives increases. We seek new ways in which to improve our health and we constantly look for new ways to fill our free time. Fashion and looks are important to us; we prefer sustainable products and we like to play games using smart gadgets. This is why Fontys Academy for Creative Industries exists. We train people to create beautiful concepts, exciting concepts, touching concepts, concepts to improve our quality of life. We train them for an industry in which creativity is of the highest value to a product or service. We educate young people who feel at home in the (digital) world of entertainment and lifestyle, and understand that creativity can also mean business. Creativity can be marketed, it’s as simple as that.

We’re sure Prof. Stapel would agree.

[i] Fontys describes itself thusly: Fontys Academy for Creative Industries (Fontys ACI) in Tilburg has 2500 students working towards a bachelor of Business Administration (International Event, Music & Entertainment Studies and Digital Publishing Studies), a bachelor of Communication (International Event, Music & Entertainment Studies) or a bachelor of Lifestyle (International Lifestyle Studies). Fontys ACI hosts a staff of approximately one hundred (teachers plus support staff) as well as about fifty regular visiting lecturers.

 *I wonder if “social philosophy” is being construed as “extreme postmodernist social epistemology”?  

I guess the students are keen to watch that Fictionfactory Peephole.

**Turns out to have been short-lived. Also admits to sockpuppeting at Retraction watch. Frankly I thought it was more fun to guess who “Paul” was, but they have rules. http://retractionwatch.com/2014/10/08/diederik-stapel-loses-teaching-post-admits-he-was-sockpuppeting-on-retraction-watch/#comments

[ii} One of my April Fool’s Day posts is turning from part fiction to fact.

Categories: Rejected Posts, Statistics

Winner of July Palindrome: Manan Shah

Shah

Manan Shah

Winner of July 2014 Contest:

Manan Shah

Palindrome: 

Trap May Elba, Dr. of Fanatic. I fed naan, deli-oiled naan, deficit an affordable yam part.

The requirements: 

In addition to using Elba, a candidate for a winning palindrome must have used fanatic. An optional second word was: part. An acceptable palindrome with both words would best an acceptable palindrome with just fanatic

Bio:

Manan Shah is a mathematician and owner of Think. Plan. Do. LLC. (www.ThinkPlanDoLLC.com). He also maintains the “Math Misery?” blog at www.mathmisery.com. He holds a PhD in Mathematics from Florida State University.

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Categories: Palindrome, Rejected Posts

Winner of the March 2014 palindrome contest (rejected post)

caitlin-parkerWinner of the March 2014 Palindrome Contest

Caitlin Parker

Palindrome: 

Able, we’d well aim on. I bet on a note. Binomial? Lewd. Ew, Elba!

The requirement was: A palindrome with Elba plus Binomial with an optional second word: bet. A palindrome that uses both Binomial and bet topped an acceptable palindrome that only uses Binomial.

Short bio: 
Caitlin Parker is a first-year master’s student in the Philosophy department at Virginia Tech. Though her interests are in philosophy of science and statistics, she also has experience doing psychological research. Continue reading

Categories: Announcement, Palindrome, Rejected Posts

Winner of the Febrary 2014 palindrome contest (rejected post)

SamHeadWinner of February 2014 Palindrome Contest
Samuel Dickson

Palindrome:
Rot, Cadet A, I’ve droned! Elba, revile deviant, naïve, deliverable den or deviated actor.

The requirement was: A palindrome with Elba plus deviate with an optional second word: deviant. A palindrome that uses both deviate and deviant tops an acceptable palindrome that only uses deviate.

Bio:
Sam Dickson is a regulatory statistician at U.S. Army Medical Research Institute of Infectious Diseases (USAMRIID) with experience in statistical consulting, specializing in design and analysis of biological and genetics/genomics studies.

Statement:
“It’s great to get a  chance to exercise the mind with something other than statistics, though putting words together to make a palindrome is a puzzle very similar to designing an experiment that answers the right question.  Thank you for hosting this contest!”

Choice of book:
Principles of Applied Statistics (D. R. Cox and C. A. Donnelly 2011, Cambridge: Cambridge University Press)

Congratulations, Sam! I hope that your opting to do two words (plus Elba) means we can go back to the tougher standard for palindromes, but I’d just as soon raise the level of competence for several months more (sticking to one word). 

Categories: Announcement, Palindrome, Rejected Posts, Statistics

PhilStock: Bad news is bad news on Wall St. (rejected post)

stock picture smaillI’ve been asked for a PhilStock tip. Well, remember when it could be said that “bad news is good news on wall street“?

No longer. Now bad is bad. I call these “blood days” on the stock market, and the only statistical advice that has held up over the past turbulent years is: Never try to catch a falling knife*.

*For more, you’ll have to seek my stock blog.

Categories: PhilStock, Rejected Posts

Winner of the January 2014 palindrome contest (rejected post)

images-5Winner of the January 2014 Palindrome Context

Karthik Durvasula
Visiting Assistant Professor in Phonology & Phonetics at Michigan State University

Palindrome: Test’s optimal? Agreed! Able to honor? O no! Hot Elba deer gala. MIT-post set.

The requirement was: A palindrome with “optimal” and “Elba”.

BioI’m a Visiting Assistant Professor in Phonology & Phonetics at Michigan State University. My work primarily deals with probing people’s subconscious knowledge of (abstract) sound patterns. Recently, I have been working on auditory illusions that stem from the bias that such subconscious knowledge introduces.

Statement: “Trying to get a palindrome that was at least partially meaningful was fun and challenging. Plus I get an awesome book for my efforts. What more could a guy ask for! I also want to thank Mayo for being excellent about email correspondence, and answering my (sometimes silly) questions tirelessly.”

Book choice: EGEK 1996! 🙂
[i.e.,Mayo (1996): “Error and the Growth of Experimental Knowledge”]

CONGRATULATIONS! And thanks so much for your interest!

February contest: Elba plus deviate (deviation)*

New Rule: Using both deviate and deviant tops an acceptable palindrome that only uses deviate (but can earn 1/2 prize voucher for doubling on another month).

Categories: Announcement, Palindrome, Rejected Posts

Winner of the December 2013 Palindrome Book Contest (Rejected Post)

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WINNER: Zachary David
Categories: Palindrome, Rejected Posts

Mascots of Bayesneon statistics (rejected post)

bayes_theorem (see rejected posts)

Categories: Bayesian/frequentist, Rejected Posts

Saturday night comedy from a Bayesian diary (rejected post*)

ccr20011001bb_s04-1*See “rejected posts”.

Categories: Comedy, Rejected Posts, strong likelihood principle

PhilStock: No-pain bull

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Categories: PhilStock, Rejected Posts

PhilStock: Bad news is good news on Wall St.

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Categories: PhilStock, Rejected Posts

Professor of Philosophy Resigns over Sexual Misconduct (rejected post)

Unknown-1My field (philosophy) is not known for the kinds of data frauds and retractions we’ve discussed on this blog, but scandals revolving around sexual harassment by male faculty are not rare, though I can’t think of another with a senior faculty resigning, at least not in recent times. This article is from 

A Few Words on the McGinn Imbroglio from the philosophy smoker blog (June 4, 2013)

As I guess we [in philosophy] all know, Colin McGinn has chosen to resign from the University of Miami rather than allow the University to proceed with an investigation into allegations of sexual misconduct involving a research assistant. The article at the Chronicle of Higher Ed is here (paywalled); Sally Haslanger has posted a PDF of the whole thing here. Discussion at NewApps hereherehere, and here; discussion at Feminist Philosophers here; discussion at Leiter here and here.

Briefly, what seems to have happened is this: McGinn had a Research Assistant who was a female graduate student. Last spring, the RA started feeling uncomfortable with McGinn. Then, last April, McGinn allegedly started sending her sexually explicit email messages, including one in which, according to the RA’s boyfriend and two unnamed faculty members, “McGinn wrote that he had been thinking about the student while masturbating.”* Wowza.

The RA then contacted the Office of Equality Administration. According to CHE, “after the university’s Office of Equality Administration and the vice provost for faculty affairs conducted an investigation, Mr. McGinn was given the option of agreeing to resign or having an investigation into the allegations against him continue in a public setting, several of the philosopher’s colleagues said.”

It’s hard to know exactly what to make of this. On one obvious interpretation, there’s a clearly implied threat: if you don’t resign, we’re going to publicly drag your name through the mud. And I’m not sure how normal the prospect of a “public” investigation is in this kind of circumstance. For example, if I recall correctly, the Oregon case from a couple of years ago involved an investigation that was supposed to have been kept private, and was made public only in violation of the University’s procedures. But procedures vary from institution to institution, and I don’t have any expertise here. I don’t really have any idea whether this is unusual or not, although my suspicion is that it is at least a little unusual.

It therefore seems reasonable to worry about whether the procedures Miami followed here were respectful of McGinn’s right to due process. But it’s worth emphasizing that the CHE article is not very clear about precisely what happened—for example, Leiter says that McGinn had legal representation and was acting on his lawyer’s advice, but the CHE doesn’t mention it. It is also worth emphasizing that the account in the CHE comes from unnamed “colleagues,” not McGinn or his representatives or any official source at the University. And this comment at Feminist Philosophers, the veracity of which I am not in a position to verify, makes the meeting seem at least a little less troubling. On that account, it was more like, we’ve got some pretty compelling, well-documented evidence of misconduct, which we are duty-bound to pursue; but we’d like to give you the opportunity to resign now and save us both a big headache.

Harrassment occurs between professors, and not just between professors and students, but without the obvious professor-student taboo, it is not taken especially seriously, in my experience. Naturally philosophers, being philosophers, some of them, will engage in deep philosophical discussion of the philosophical nature and justification of the infractions and even how it might have grown out of a legitimate philosophical research on the topic of the evolutionary development of the hand, in relation to its physical functions. Continue reading

Categories: Rejected Posts, Uncategorized

PhilStock: The Great Taper Caper

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Categories: PhilStock, Rejected Posts

PhilStock: Topsy-Turvy Game

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Categories: PhilStock, Rejected Posts

PhilStock: Applectomy? (rejected post)

apple-chart-660x196Apple (AAPL) stock  is a perfect example of how psychology, fear and superstition enter into stock prices as much as do measures of valuation. Any predictions for this afternoon’s earnings? In general, here’s a field where regardless of what happens, “experts” never have to say they were wrong–especially about Tech. So, certainly we don’t. Thus, a wild guess–AAPL (currently down 300 points over its high)  goes up with earnings, but not massively (~5-10pts). Still, there’s such a fear of its being “RIMMED” (i.e., dramatically losing its status as top tech, as did Research in Motion), that it may be beaten down some more.

(To be placed in rejected posts blog)

Categories: Rejected Posts

Risk-Based Security: Knives and Axes

headlesstsaAfter a 6-week hiatus from flying, I’m back in the role of female opt-out[i] in a brand new Delta[ii] terminal with free internet and ipads[iii]. I heard last week that the TSA plans to allow small knives in carry-ons, for the first time since 9/11, as “part of an overall risk-based security approach”. But now it appears that flight attendants, pilot unions, a number of elected officials, and even federal air marshals are speaking out against the move, writing letters and petitions of opposition.

“The Flight Attendants Union Coalition, representing nearly 90,000 flight attendants, and the Coalition of Airline Pilots Associations, which represents 22,000 airline pilots, also oppose the rule change.”

Former flight attendant Tiffany Hawk is “stupefied” by the move, “especially since the process that turns checkpoints into maddening logjams — removing shoes, liquids and computers — remains unchanged,” she wrote in an opinion column for CNN. Link is here. Continue reading

Categories: evidence-based policy, Rejected Posts, Statistics

PhilStock: DO < $70

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Categories: PhilStock, Rejected Posts

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