3-year memory lane

All She Wrote (so far): Error Statistics Philosophy: 7 years on

Posted on September 22, 2018 by Mayo

Error Statistics Philosophy: Blog Contents (7 years) [i]
By: D. G. Mayo

Dear Reader: I began this blog 7 years ago (Sept. 3, 2011)! A big celebration is taking place at the Elbar Room this evening, both for the blog and the appearance of my new book: Statistical Inference as Severe Testing: How to Get Beyond the Statistics Wars (CUP). While a special rush edition made an appearance on Sept 3, in time for the RSS meeting in Cardiff, it was decided to hold off on the festivities until copies of the book were officially available (yesterday)! If you’re in the neighborhood, stop by for some Elba Grease

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Many of the discussions in the book were importantly influenced (corrected and improved) by reader’s comments on the blog over the years. I thank readers for their input. Please peruse the offerings below, taking advantage of the discussions by guest posters and readers! I posted the first 3 sections of Tour I (in Excursion i) here, here, and here.
This blog will return to life, although I’m not yet sure of exactly what form it will take. Ideas are welcome. The tone of a book differs from a blog, so we’ll have to see what voice emerges here.

Sincerely,

D. Mayo Continue reading →

Categories: 3-year memory lane, 4 years ago!, blog contents, Metablog

3 YEARS AGO (AUGUST 2015): MEMORY LANE

Posted on August 17, 2018 by Mayo

3 years ago…

MONTHLY MEMORY LANE: 3 years ago: August 2015. I mark in red 3-4 posts that seem most apt for general background on key issues in this blog, excluding those reblogged recently[1], and in green up to 3 others of relevance to philosophy of statistics [2]. Posts that are part of a “unit” or a group count as one.

August 2015

08/05 Neyman: Distinguishing tests of statistical hypotheses and tests of significance might have been a lapse of someone’s pen
08/08 Statistical Theater of the Absurd: “Stat on a Hot Tin Roof”
08/11 A. Spanos: Egon Pearson’s Neglected Contributions to Statistics (recently reblogged)
08/14 Performance or Probativeness? E.S. Pearson’s Statistical Philosophy
08/15 Severity in a Likelihood Text by Charles Rohde
08/19 Statistics, the Spooky Science
08/20 How to avoid making mountains out of molehills, using power/severity
08/24 3 YEARS AGO (AUGUST 2012): MEMORY LANE
08/31 The Paradox of Replication, and the vindication of the P-value (but she can go deeper) 9/2/15 update (ii)

[1] Monthly memory lanes began at the blog’s 3-year anniversary in Sept, 2014.

[2] New Rule, July 30, 2016, March 30,2017 -a very convenient way to allow data-dependent choices (note why it’s legit in selecting blog posts, on severity grounds).

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Categories: 3-year memory lane

3 YEARS AGO (JULY 2015): MEMORY LANE

Posted on July 21, 2018 by Mayo

3 years ago…

MONTHLY MEMORY LANE: 3 years ago: July 2015. I mark in red 3-4 posts from each month that seem most apt for general background on key issues in this blog, excluding those reblogged recently[1], and in green up to 3 others of general relevance to philosophy of statistics [2]. Posts that are part of a “unit” or a group count as one.

July 2015

07/03 Larry Laudan: “When the ‘Not-Guilty’ Falsely Pass for Innocent”, the Frequency of False Acquittals (guest post)
07/09 Winner of the June Palindrome contest: Lori Wike
07/11 Higgs discovery three years on (Higgs analysis and statistical flukes)-reblogged recently
07/14 Spot the power howler: α = ß?
07/17 “Statistical Significance” According to the U.S. Dept. of Health and Human Services (ii)
07/22 3 YEARS AGO (JULY 2012): MEMORY LANE
07/24 Stephen Senn: Randomization, ratios and rationality: rescuing the randomized clinical trial from its critics
07/29 Telling What’s True About Power, if practicing within the error-statistical tribe

[1] Monthly memory lanes began at the blog’s 3-year anniversary in Sept, 2014.

[2] New Rule, July 30, 2016, March 30,2017 -a very convenient way to allow data-dependent choices (note why it’s legit in selecting blog posts, on severity grounds).

Save

Categories: 3-year memory lane

3 YEARS AGO (May 2015): Monthly Memory Lane

Posted on May 1, 2018 by Mayo

3 years ago…

MONTHLY MEMORY LANE: 3 years ago: May 2015. I mark in red 3-4 posts from each month that seem most apt for general background on key issues in this blog, excluding those reblogged recently[1]. Posts that are part of a “unit” or a group count as one, as in the case of 5/16, 5/19 and 5/24.

May 2015

05/04 Spurious Correlations: Death by getting tangled in bedsheets and the consumption of cheese! (Aris Spanos)
05/08 What really defies common sense (Msc kvetch on rejected posts)
05/09 Stephen Senn: Double Jeopardy?: Judge Jeffreys Upholds the Law (sequel to the pathetic P-value)
05/16 “Error statistical modeling and inference: Where methodology meets ontology” A. Spanos and D. Mayo
05/19 Workshop on Replication in the Sciences: Society for Philosophy and Psychology: (2nd part of double header)
05/24 From our “Philosophy of Statistics” session: APS 2015 convention
05/27 “Intentions” is the new code word for “error probabilities”: Allan Birnbaum’s Birthday
05/30 3 YEARS AGO (MAY 2012): Saturday Night Memory Lane

[1] Monthly memory lanes began at the blog’s 3-year anniversary in Sept, 2014.

I regret being away from blogging as of late (yes, the last bit of proofing on the book): I shall return soon! Send me stuff to post of yours or items of interest in the mean time.

Categories: 3-year memory lane

3 YEARS AGO (APRIL 2015): MEMORY LANE

Posted on April 6, 2018 by Mayo

3 years ago…

MONTHLY MEMORY LANE: 3 years ago: April 2015. I mark in red 3-4 posts from each month that seem most apt for general background on key issues in this blog, excluding those reblogged recently[1], and in green up to 3 others of general relevance to philosophy of statistics (in months where I’ve blogged a lot)[2]. Posts that are part of a “unit” or a group count as one.

April 2015

04/01 Are scientists really ready for ‘retraction offsets’ to advance ‘aggregate reproducibility’? (let alone ‘precautionary withdrawals’)
04/04 Joan Clarke, Turing, I.J. Good, and “that after-dinner comedy hour…”
04/08 Heads I win, tails you lose? Meehl and many Popperians get this wrong (about severe tests)!
04/13 Philosophy of Statistics Comes to the Big Apple! APS 2015 Annual Convention — NYC
04/16 A. Spanos: Jerzy Neyman and his Enduring Legacy
04/18 Neyman: Distinguishing tests of statistical hypotheses and tests of significance might have been a lapse of someone’s pen
04/22 NEYMAN: “Note on an Article by Sir Ronald Fisher” (3 uses for power, Fisher’s fiducial argument)
04/24 “Statistical Concepts in Their Relation to Reality” by E.S. Pearson
04/27 3 YEARS AGO (APRIL 2012): MEMORY LANE
04/30 96% Error in “Expert” Testimony Based on Probability of Hair Matches: It’s all Junk!

[1] Monthly memory lanes began at the blog’s 3-year anniversary in Sept, 2014.

[2] New Rule, July 30,2016, March 30,2017 -a very convenient way to allow data-dependent choices (note why it’s legit in selecting blog posts, on severity grounds).

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Categories: 3-year memory lane

3 YEARS AGO (MARCH 2015): MEMORY LANE

Posted on March 10, 2018 by Mayo

3 years ago…

MONTHLY MEMORY LANE: 3 years ago: March 2015. I mark in red 3-4 posts from each month that seem most apt for general background on key issues in this blog, excluding those reblogged recently[1], and in green up to 3 others of general relevance to philosophy of statistics (in months where I’ve blogged a lot)[2]. Posts that are part of a “unit” or a group count as one.

March 2015

03/01 “Probabilism as an Obstacle to Statistical Fraud-Busting”
03/05 A puzzle about the latest test ban (or ‘don’t ask, don’t tell’)
03/12 All She Wrote (so far): Error Statistics Philosophy: 3.5 years on
03/16 Stephen Senn: The pathetic P-value (Guest Post)
03/21 Objectivity in Statistics: “Arguments From Discretion and 3 Reactions”
03/24 3 YEARS AGO (MARCH 2012): MEMORY LANE
03/28 Your (very own) personalized genomic prediction varies depending on who else was around?

[1] Monthly memory lanes began at the blog’s 3-year anniversary in Sept, 2014.

[2] New Rule, July 30,2016, March 30,2017 -a very convenient way to allow data-dependent choices (note why it’s legit in selecting blog posts, on severity grounds).

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Categories: 3-year memory lane

3 YEARS AGO (FEBRUARY 2015): MEMORY LANE

Posted on February 10, 2018 by Mayo

3 years ago…

MONTHLY MEMORY LANE: 3 years ago: February 2015 [1]. Here are some items to for your Saturday night reading and rereading. Three are in preparation for Fisher’s birthday next week (Feb 17). One is a Saturday night comedy where Jeffreys appears to substitute for Jay Leno. The 2/25 entry lets you go back 6 years where there’s more on Fisher, a bit of statistical theatre (of the absurd), Misspecification tests, and a guest post (by Schachtman) on that infamous Matrixx court case (wherein the Supreme Court is thought to have weighed in on statistical significance tests). The comments are often the most interesting parts of these old posts.

February 2015

02/05 Stephen Senn: Is Pooling Fooling? (Guest Post)
02/10 What’s wrong with taking (1 – β)/α, as a likelihood ratio comparing H0 and H1?
02/13 Induction, Popper and Pseudoscience
02/16 Continuing the discussion on truncation, Bayesian convergence and testing of priors
02/16 R. A. Fisher: ‘Two New Properties of Mathematical Likelihood’: Just before breaking up (with N-P)
02/17 R. A. Fisher: How an Outsider Revolutionized Statistics (Aris Spanos)
02/19 Stephen Senn: Fisher’s Alternative to the Alternative
02/21 Sir Harold Jeffreys’ (tail area) one-liner: Saturday night comedy (b)
02/25 3 YEARS AGO: (FEBRUARY 2012) MEMORY LANE

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02/27 Big Data is the New Phrenology?

[1] Monthly memory lanes began at the blog’s 3-year anniversary in Sept, 2014.

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Categories: 3-year memory lane

3 YEARS AGO (JANUARY 2015): MEMORY LANE

Posted on January 23, 2018 by Mayo

3 years ago…

MONTHLY MEMORY LANE: 3 years ago: January 2015. I mark in red 3-4 posts from each month that seem most apt for general background on key issues in this blog, excluding those reblogged recently[1], and in green 2-3 others of general relevance to philosophy of statistics (in months where I’ve blogged a lot)[2]. Posts that are part of a “unit” or a group count as one.

January 2015

01/02 Blog Contents: Oct.- Dec. 2014
01/03 No headache power (for Deirdre)
01/04 Significance Levels are Made a Whipping Boy on Climate Change Evidence: Is .05 Too Strict? (Schachtman on Oreskes)
01/07 “When Bayesian Inference Shatters” Owhadi, Scovel, and Sullivan (reblog)
01/08 On the Brittleness of Bayesian Inference–An Update: Owhadi and Scovel (guest post).
01/12 “Only those samples which fit the model best in cross validation were included” (whistleblower) “I suspect that we likely disagree with what constitutes validation” (Potti and Nevins)
01/16 Winners of the December 2014 Palindrome Contest: TWO!
01/18 Power Analysis and Non-Replicability: If bad statistics is prevalent in your field, does it follow you can’t be guilty of scientific fraud?
01/21 Some statistical dirty laundry.
01/24 What do these share in common: m&ms, limbo stick, ovulation, Dale Carnegie? Sat night potpourri
01/26 Trial on Anil Potti’s (clinical) Trial Scandal Postponed Because Lawyers Get the Sniffles (updated)
01/27 3 YEARS AGO: (JANUARY 2012) MEMORY LANE
01/31 Saturday Night Brainstorming and Task Forces: (4th draft)

[1] Monthly memory lanes began at the blog’s 3-year anniversary in Sept, 2014.

[2] New Rule, July 30,2016, March 30,2017 -a very convenient way to allow data-dependent choices (note why it’s legit in selecting blog posts, on severity grounds).

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Categories: 3-year memory lane

3 YEARS AGO (DECEMBER 2014): MEMORY LANE

Posted on January 7, 2018 by Mayo

3 years ago…

MONTHLY MEMORY LANE: 3 years ago: December 2014. I mark in red 3-4 posts from each month that seem most apt for general background on key issues in this blog, excluding those reblogged recently[1], and in green 3- 4 others of general relevance to philosophy of statistics (in months where I’ve blogged a lot)[2]. Posts that are part of a “unit” or a group count as one.

December 2014

12/02 My Rutgers Seminar: tomorrow, December 3, on philosophy of statistics
12/04 “Probing with Severity: Beyond Bayesian Probabilism and Frequentist Performance” (Dec 3 Seminar slides)
12/06 How power morcellators inadvertently spread uterine cancer
12/11 Msc. Kvetch: What does it mean for a battle to be “lost by the media”?
12/13 S. Stanley Young: Are there mortality co-benefits to the Clean Power Plan? It depends. (Guest Post)
12/17 Announcing Kent Staley’s new book, An Introduction to the Philosophy of Science (CUP)
12/21 Derailment: Faking Science: A true story of academic fraud, by Diederik Stapel (translated into English)
12/23 All I want for Chrismukkah is that critics & “reformers” quit howlers of testing (after 3 yrs of blogging)! So here’s Aris Spanos “Talking Back!”
12/26 3 YEARS AGO: MONTHLY (Dec.) MEMORY LANE
12/29 To raise the power of a test is to lower (not raise) the “hurdle” for rejecting the null (Ziliac and McCloskey 3 years on)
12/31 Midnight With Birnbaum (Happy New Year)

[1] Monthly memory lanes began at the blog’s 3-year anniversary in Sept, 2014.

[2] New Rule, July 30,2016, March 30,2017 -a very convenient way to allow data-dependent choices (note why it’s legit in selecting blog posts, on severity grounds).

Save

Categories: 3-year memory lane

3 YEARS AGO (NOVEMBER 2014): MEMORY LANE

Posted on November 17, 2017 by Mayo

3 years ago…

MONTHLY MEMORY LANE: 3 years ago: November 2014. I mark in red 3-4 posts from each month that seem most apt for general background on key issues in this blog, excluding those reblogged recently[1], and in green 3- 4 others of general relevance to philosophy of statistics (in months where I’ve blogged a lot)[2]. Posts that are part of a “unit” or a group count as one (11/1/14 & 11/09/14 and 11/15/14 & 11/25/14 are grouped). The comments are worth checking out.

November 2014

11/01 Philosophy of Science Assoc. (PSA) symposium on Philosophy of Statistics in the Higgs Experiments “How Many Sigmas to Discovery?”
11/09 “Statistical Flukes, the Higgs Discovery, and 5 Sigma” at the PSA
11/11 The Amazing Randi’s Million Dollar Challenge
11/12 A biased report of the probability of a statistical fluke: Is it cheating?
11/15 Why the Law of Likelihood is bankrupt–as an account of evidence
11/18 Lucien Le Cam: “The Bayesians Hold the Magic”
11/20 Erich Lehmann: Statistician and Poet
11/22 Msc Kvetch: “You are a Medical Statistic”, or “How Medical Care Is Being Corrupted”
11/25 How likelihoodists exaggerate evidence from statistical tests
11/30 3 YEARS AGO: MONTHLY (Nov.) MEMORY LANE

[1] Monthly memory lanes began at the blog’s 3-year anniversary in Sept, 2014.

[2] New Rule, July 30,2016, March 30,2017 -a very convenient way to allow data-dependent choices (note why it’s legit in selecting blog posts, on severity grounds).

Save

Categories: 3-year memory lane

3 YEARS AGO (JULY 2014): MEMORY LANE

Posted on July 22, 2017 by Mayo

3 years ago…

MONTHLY MEMORY LANE: 3 years ago: July 2014. I mark in red 3-4 posts from each month that seem most apt for general background on key issues in this blog, excluding those reblogged recently[1]. Posts that are part of a “unit” or a group count as one. This month there are three such groups: 7/8 and 7/10; 7/14 and 7/23; 7/26 and 7/31.

July 2014

(7/7) Winner of June Palindrome Contest: Lori Wike
(7/8) Higgs Discovery 2 years on (1: “Is particle physics bad science?”)
(7/10) Higgs Discovery 2 years on (2: Higgs analysis and statistical flukes)
(7/14) “P-values overstate the evidence against the null”: legit or fallacious? (revised)
(7/23) Continued:”P-values overstate the evidence against the null”: legit or fallacious?
(7/26) S. Senn: “Responder despondency: myths of personalized medicine” (Guest Post)
(7/31) Roger Berger on Stephen Senn’s “Blood Simple” with a response by Senn (Guest Posts)

[1] Monthly memory lanes began at the blog’s 3-year anniversary in Sept, 2014.

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Categories: 3-year memory lane, Higgs, P-values

3 YEARS AGO (JUNE 2014): MEMORY LANE

Posted on June 25, 2017 by Mayo

3 years ago…

MONTHLY MEMORY LANE: 3 years ago: June 2014. I mark in red 3-4 posts from each month that seem most apt for general background on key issues in this blog, excluding those reblogged recently[1], and in green up to 4 others of general relevance to philosophy of statistics [2]. Posts that are part of a “unit” or a group count as one.

June 2014

(6/5) Stephen Senn: Blood Simple? The complicated and controversial world of bioequivalence (guest post)
(6/9) “The medical press must become irrelevant to publication of clinical trials.”
(6/11) A. Spanos: “Recurring controversies about P values and confidence intervals revisited”
(6/14) “Statistical Science and Philosophy of Science: where should they meet?”
(6/21) Big Bayes Stories? (draft ii)
(6/25) Blog Contents: May 2014
(6/28) Sir David Hendry Gets Lifetime Achievement Award
(6/30) Some ironies in the ‘replication crisis’ in social psychology (4^th and final installment)

[1] Monthly memory lanes began at the blog’s 3-year anniversary in Sept, 2014.

[2] New Rule, July 30,2016, March 30,2017 (moved to 4) -very convenient way to allow data-dependent choices.

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Categories: 3-year memory lane

3 YEARS AGO (May 2014): MEMORY LANE

Posted on June 4, 2017 by Mayo

3 years ago…

MONTHLY MEMORY LANE: 3 years ago: May 2014. I leave them unmarked this month, read whatever looks interesting.

May 2014

(5/1) Putting the brakes on the breakthrough: An informal look at the argument for the Likelihood Principle
(5/3) You can only become coherent by ‘converting’ non-Bayesianly
(5/6) Winner of April Palindrome contest: Lori Wike
(5/7) A. Spanos: Talking back to the critics using error statistics (Phil6334)
(5/10) Who ya gonna call for statistical Fraudbusting? R.A. Fisher, P-values, and error statistics (again)
(5/15) Scientism and Statisticism: a conference* (i)
(5/17) Deconstructing Andrew Gelman: “A Bayesian wants everybody else to be a non-Bayesian.”
(5/20) The Science Wars & the Statistics Wars: More from the Scientism workshop
(5/25) Blog Table of Contents: March and April 2014
(5/27) Allan Birnbaum, Philosophical Error Statistician: 27 May 1923 – 1 July 1976
(5/31) What have we learned from the Anil Potti training and test data frameworks? Part 1 (draft 2)

[1] Monthly memory lanes began at the blog’s 3-year anniversary in Sept, 2014.

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Categories: 3-year memory lane

3 YEARS AGO (APRIL 2014): MEMORY LANE

Posted on May 15, 2017 by Mayo

3 years ago…

MONTHLY MEMORY LANE: 3 years ago: April 2014. I mark in red three posts from each month that seem most apt for general background on key issues in this blog, excluding those reblogged recently[1], and in green up to 4 others I’d recommend[2]. Posts that are part of a “unit” or a group count as one. For this month, I’ll include all the 6334 seminars as “one”.

April 2014

(4/1) April Fool’s. Skeptical and enthusiastic Bayesian priors for beliefs about insane asylum renovations at Dept of Homeland Security: I’m skeptical and unenthusiastic
(4/3) Self-referential blogpost (conditionally accepted*)
(4/5) Who is allowed to cheat? I.J. Good and that after dinner comedy hour. . ..
(4/6) Phil6334: Duhem’s Problem, highly probable vs highly probed; Day #9 Slides
(4/8) “Out Damned Pseudoscience: Non-significant results are the new ‘Significant’ results!” (update)
(4/12) “Murder or Coincidence?” Statistical Error in Court: Richard Gill (TEDx video)
(4/14) Phil6334: Notes on Bayesian Inference: Day #11 Slides
(4/16) A. Spanos: Jerzy Neyman and his Enduring Legacy
(4/17) Duality: Confidence intervals and the severity of tests
(4/19) Getting Credit (or blame) for Something You Didn’t Do (BP oil spill)
(4/21) Phil 6334: Foundations of statistics and its consequences: Day#12
(4/23) Phil 6334 Visitor: S. Stanley Young, “Statistics and Scientific Integrity”
(4/26) Reliability and Reproducibility: Fraudulent p-values through multiple testing (and other biases): S. Stanley Young (Phil 6334: Day #13)
(4/30) Able Stats Elba: 3 Palindrome nominees for April! (rejected post)

[1] Monthly memory lanes began at the blog’s 3-year anniversary in Sept, 2014.

[2] New Rule, July 30,2016, March 30,2017 (moved to 4) -very convenient way to allow data-dependent choices.

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Categories: 3-year memory lane, Statistics

3 YEARS AGO (MARCH 2014): MEMORY LANE

Posted on April 9, 2017 by Mayo

3 years ago…

MONTHLY MEMORY LANE: 3 years ago: March 2014. I mark in red three posts from each month that seem most apt for general background on key issues in this blog, excluding those reblogged recently[1], and in green up to 4 others I’d recommend[2]. Posts that are part of a “unit” or a group count as one. 3/19 and 3/17 are one, as are 3/19, 3/12 and 3/4, and the 6334 items 3/11, 3/22 and 3/26. So that covers nearly all the posts!

March 2014

(3/1) Cosma Shalizi gets tenure (at last!) (metastat announcement)
(3/2) Significance tests and frequentist principles of evidence: Phil6334 Day #6
(3/3) Capitalizing on Chance (ii)
(3/4) Power, power everywhere–(it) may not be what you think! [illustration]
(3/8) Msc kvetch: You are fully dressed (even under you clothes)?
(3/8) Fallacy of Rejection and the Fallacy of Nouvelle Cuisine
(3/11) Phil6334 Day #7: Selection effects, the Higgs and 5 sigma, Power
(3/12) Get empowered to detect power howlers
(3/15) New SEV calculator (guest app: Durvasula)
(3/17) Stephen Senn: “Delta Force: To what extent is clinical relevance relevant?” (Guest Post)
(3/19) Power taboos: Statue of Liberty, Senn, Neyman, Carnap, Severity
(3/22) Fallacies of statistics & statistics journalism, and how to avoid them: Summary & Slides Day #8 (Phil 6334)
(3/25) The Unexpected Way Philosophy Majors Are Changing The World Of Business
(3/26) Phil6334:Misspecification Testing: Ordering From A Full Diagnostic Menu (part 1)
(3/28) Severe osteometric probing of skeletal remains: John Byrd
(3/29) Winner of the March 2014 palindrome contest (rejected post)
(3/30) Phil6334: March 26, philosophy of misspecification testing (Day #9 slides)

[1] Monthly memory lanes began at the blog’s 3-year anniversary in Sept, 2014.

[2] New Rule, July 30,2016, March 30,2017 (moved to 4) -very convenient way to allow data-dependent choices.

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Categories: 3-year memory lane, Error Statistics, Statistics

3 YEARS AGO (FEBRUARY 2014): MEMORY LANE

Posted on February 28, 2017 by Mayo

3 years ago…

MONTHLY MEMORY LANE: 3 years ago: February 2014. I normally mark in red three posts from each month that seem most apt for general background on key issues in this blog, but I decided just to list these as they are (some are from a seminar I taught with Aris Spanos 3 years ago; several on Fisher were recently reblogged). I hope you find something of interest!

February 2014

(2/1) Comedy hour at the Bayesian (epistemology) retreat: highly probable vs highly probed (vs B-boosts)
(2/3) PhilStock: Bad news is bad news on Wall St. (rejected post)
(2/5) “Probabilism as an Obstacle to Statistical Fraud-Busting” (draft iii)
(2/9) Phil6334: Day #3: Feb 6, 2014
(2/10) Is it true that all epistemic principles can only be defended circularly? A Popperian puzzle
(2/12) Phil6334: Popper self-test
(2/13) Phil 6334 Statistical Snow Sculpture
(2/14) January Blog Table of Contents
(2/15) Fisher and Neyman after anger management?
(2/17) R. A. Fisher: how an outsider revolutionized statistics
(2/18) Aris Spanos: The Enduring Legacy of R. A. Fisher
(2/20) R.A. Fisher: ‘Two New Properties of Mathematical Likelihood’
(2/21) STEPHEN SENN: Fisher’s alternative to the alternative
(2/22) Sir Harold Jeffreys’ (tail-area) one-liner: Sat night comedy [draft ii]
(2/24) Phil6334: February 20, 2014 (Spanos): Day #5
(2/26) Winner of the February 2014 palindrome contest (rejected post)
(2/26) Phil6334: Feb 24, 2014: Induction, Popper and pseudoscience (Day #4)

Categories: 3-year memory lane, Statistics

3 YEARS AGO (JANUARY 2014): MEMORY LANE

Posted on January 28, 2017 by Mayo

3 years ago…

MONTHLY MEMORY LANE: 3 years ago: January 2014. I mark in red three posts from each month that seem most apt for general background on key issues in this blog, excluding those reblogged recently[1], and in green up to 3 others I’d recommend[2]. Posts that are part of a “unit” or a group count as one. This month, I’m grouping the 3 posts from my seminar with A. Spanos, counting them as 1.

January 2014

(1/2) Winner of the December 2013 Palindrome Book Contest (Rejected Post)
(1/3) Error Statistics Philosophy: 2013
(1/4) Your 2014 wishing well. …
(1/7) “Philosophy of Statistical Inference and Modeling” New Course: Spring 2014: Mayo and Spanos: (Virginia Tech)
(1/11) Two Severities? (PhilSci and PhilStat)
(1/14) Statistical Science meets Philosophy of Science: blog beginnings
(1/16) Objective/subjective, dirty hands and all that: Gelman/Wasserman blogolog (ii)
(1/18) Sir Harold Jeffreys’ (tail area) one-liner: Sat night comedy [draft ii]
(1/22) Phil6334: “Philosophy of Statistical Inference and Modeling” New Course: Spring 2014: Mayo and Spanos (Virginia Tech) UPDATE: JAN 21
(1/24) Phil 6334: Slides from Day #1: Four Waves in Philosophy of Statistics
(1/25) U-Phil (Phil 6334) How should “prior information” enter in statistical inference?
(1/27) Winner of the January 2014 palindrome contest (rejected post)
(1/29) BOSTON COLLOQUIUM FOR PHILOSOPHY OF SCIENCE: Revisiting the Foundations of Statistics

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(1/31) Phil 6334: Day #2 Slides

[1] Monthly memory lanes began at the blog’s 3-year anniversary in Sept, 2014.

[2] New Rule, July 30, 2016-very convenient.

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Categories: 3-year memory lane, Bayesian/frequentist, Statistics

3 YEARS AGO (DECEMBER 2013): MEMORY LANE

Posted on December 26, 2016 by Mayo

3 years ago…

MONTHLY MEMORY LANE: 3 years ago: December 2013. I mark in red three posts from each month that seem most apt for general background on key issues in this blog, excluding those reblogged recently[1], and in green up to 3 others I’d recommend[2]. Posts that are part of a “unit” or a group count as one. In this post, that makes 12/27-12/28 count as one.

December 2013

(12/3) Stephen Senn: Dawid’s Selection Paradox (guest post)
(12/7) FDA’s New Pharmacovigilance
(12/9) Why ecologists might want to read more philosophy of science (UPDATED)
(12/11) Blog Contents for Oct and Nov 2013
(12/14) The error statistician has a complex, messy, subtle, ingenious piece-meal approach
(12/15) Surprising Facts about Surprising Facts
(12/19) A. Spanos lecture on “Frequentist Hypothesis Testing”
(12/24) U-Phil: Deconstructions [of J. Berger]: Irony & Bad Faith 3
(12/25) “Bad Arguments” (a book by Ali Almossawi)
(12/26) Mascots of Bayesneon statistics (rejected post)
(12/27) Deconstructing Larry Wasserman
(12/28) More on deconstructing Larry Wasserman (Aris Spanos)
(12/28) Wasserman on Wasserman: Update! December 28, 2013
(12/31) Midnight With Birnbaum (Happy New Year)

[1] Monthly memory lanes began at the blog’s 3-year anniversary in Sept, 2014.

[2] New Rule, July 30, 2016-very convenient.

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Categories: 3-year memory lane, Bayesian/frequentist, Error Statistics, Statistics

3 YEARS AGO (NOVEMBER 2013): MEMORY LANE

Posted on November 28, 2016 by Mayo

3 years ago…

MONTHLY MEMORY LANE: 3 years ago: November 2013. I mark in red three posts from each month that seem most apt for general background on key issues in this blog, excluding those reblogged recently[1], and in green up to 3 others I’d recommend[2]. Posts that are part of a “unit” or a group count as one. Here I’m counting 11/9, 11/13, and 11/16 as one

November 2013

(11/2) Oxford Gaol: Statistical Bogeymen
(11/4) Forthcoming paper on the strong likelihood principle
(11/9) Null Effects and Replication (cartoon pic)
(11/9) Beware of questionable front page articles warning you to beware of questionable front page articles (iii)
(11/13) T. Kepler: “Trouble with ‘Trouble at the Lab’?” (guest post)
(11/16) PhilStock: No-pain bull
(11/16) S. Stanley Young: More Trouble with ‘Trouble in the Lab’ (Guest post)
(11/18) Lucien Le Cam: “The Bayesians hold the Magic”
(11/20) Erich Lehmann: Statistician and Poet
(11/23) Probability that it is a statistical fluke [i]
(11/27) “The probability that it be a statistical fluke” [iia]
(11/30) Saturday night comedy at the “Bayesian Boy” diary (rejected post*)

[1] Monthly memory lanes began at the blog’s 3-year anniversary in Sept, 2014.

[2] New Rule, July 30, 2016-very convenient.

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Categories: 3-year memory lane, Error Statistics, Statistics

3 YEARS AGO (OCTOBER 2013): MEMORY LANE

Posted on October 15, 2016 by Mayo

3 years ago…

MONTHLY MEMORY LANE: 3 years ago: October 2013. I mark in red three posts from each month that seem most apt for general background on key issues in this blog, excluding those reblogged recently[1], and in green up to 3 others I’d recommend[2]. Posts that are part of a “unit” or a pair count as one.

October 2013

(10/3) Will the Real Junk Science Please Stand Up? (critical thinking)
(10/5) Was Janina Hosiasson pulling Harold Jeffreys’ leg?
(10/9) Bad statistics: crime or free speech (II)? Harkonen update: Phil Stat / Law /Stock
(10/12) Sir David Cox: a comment on the post, “Was Hosiasson pulling Jeffreys’ leg?”(10/5 and 10/12 are a pair)
(10/19) Blog Contents: September 2013
(10/19) Bayesian Confirmation Philosophy and the Tacking Paradox (iv)*
(10/25) Bayesian confirmation theory: example from last post…(10/19 and 10/25 are a pair)
(10/26) Comedy hour at the Bayesian (epistemology) retreat: highly probable vs highly probed (vs what ?)
(10/31) WHIPPING BOYS AND WITCH HUNTERS (interesting to see how things have changed and stayed the same over the past few years, share comments)

[1] Monthly memory lanes began at the blog’s 3-year anniversary in Sept, 2014.

[2] New Rule, July 30, 2016-very convenient.

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Categories: 3-year memory lane, Error Statistics, Statistics

3-year memory lane

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© Deborah G. Mayo, Error Statistics Philosophy, 2011-2018. All Rights Reserved.